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Don’t get caught sleeping on draft day.

UPDATED 08/27/07 

Quarterbacks

Sleeper

Jay Cutler, Denver - Mike Shanahan has a good eye for quarterback talent and he does a great job of putting his quarterbacks in a position to succeed. Cutler has a rocket arm and serviceable talent surrounding him.

Bust

Vince Young, Tennessee – I am having a hard time understanding how Vince Young is rated so highly at the quarterback position. Sure, Young has unlimited potential but not in an offense with unpolished wide receivers and questionable running backs. Expect Young to finish the season with less than 20 touchdowns and an interception total that surpasses it.

Running Backs

Sleepers

Travis Henry, Denver – Henry is one of those guys who is underappreciated as a runner – granted he isn’t a great receiver. If Henry can run for 1,200 yards behind Tennessee’s offensive line it’s not far fetched that he could run for 1,500 and 12 touchdowns for the Broncos. As a matter of fact, he will, you heard it here first.

Adrian Peterson, Minnesota - Adrian Peterson was one of the best selections of the 2007 NFL draft and he is going to be one of the best selections you can make in your fantasy football league drafts as well. Peterson will split time with Chester Taylor for a few weeks but expect Peterson to assume primary ball carrying duties by mid-season. (added on 08/27/07)

Busts

Clinton Portis, Washington – A guy who surprisingly gets more respect than he deserves even though he continues to under perform in Washington. I will go as far as to say that Ladell Betts would be the better option for the Redskins. Portis is also at risk in terms of fantasy potential due to being paired up in the backfield with a second year quarterback who still has a lot to learn about the NFL game.

Shaun Alexander, Seattle - I am surprised to see how high Shaun Alexander is being selected in the various fantasy football drafts I have participated in thus far. Most consider him the 5th - 7th best fantasy running back - I’m guessing this is based on his pre-2006 statistical history. What I saw last year was a slow-footed running back on the downside of his NFL career. I don’t see him posting more than 1,000 yards and 8 touchdowns. (added on 08/27/07)

Wide Receivers

Sleepers

Reggie Brown, Philadelphia – Brown is on the verge of entering the upper echelon of wide receivers in the NFL. Very consistent, good route runner with great hands. It doesn’t hurt that he has a pro bowl quarterback throwing darts to him. Expect 1,100 yards and 10 touchdowns from Brown in 2007.

Santonio Holmes, Pittsburgh - It generally takes 2-3 years for receivers to make an impact in the NFL and Holmes is well on his way entering year two. Holmes reminds me of a mixture, 2 parts Steve Smith and 1 part Marvin Harrison - not bad. Holmes will make for a great pick as a your #3 wide receiver. (added 08/27/07)

Busts

Plaxico Burress, New York Giants – The New York Giants are in trouble this season. Their offense will be exposed with the losses of Tiki Barber and Luke Petitgout. The heat will be on Eli Manning this season and I have a strong hunch that Manning is going to have a hard time getting the ball out. Burress likes to stretch the field and that’s not possible when you have defenses applying constant pressure.

Randy Moss, New England Patriots - This can be summed up in a few words … off to a bad start. Moss has spent more time in the training room than on the field and that doesn’t bode well for building chemistry with quarterback Tom Brady. Wide receiver Donte Stallworth has started building that chemistry I talked about … advantage, Stallworth. (added 08/27/07)

Tight Ends

Sleeper

Vernon Davis, San Francisco – Tight ends usually take two-to-three years on average to make their marks in the NFL and Vernon Davis’s time is now. After dealing with injuries and inconsistencies in 2006, Davis has worked extremely hard during the offseason and it has already shown. This is the year Mr. Joe Public sees why Davis was selected with the #6 pick in the 2006 NFL draft.

Bust

Desmond Clark, Chicago – Clark had a stellar campaign in 2006, but in 2007 he will have to share catches with rookie sensation Greg Olsen. Add to that Clark’s career average touchdowns per season before 2006 of two and that makes this an obvious pick for me.

Tags: 2007, Busts, Fantasy, Football, QB, Quarterback, RB, Running Back, Skip Gibson, Sleepers, TE, Tight End, Wide Receiver, WR